Blackjack Strategy: Six Common Mistakes

Here are six of the most common blackjack mistakes – watch for them and if you see them in your own game, do something about it!

 1 – Hitting 12 To 16 Against 2 To 6

The object of the game is only to beat the dealer, not to get as close as possible to 21. Here, the player has seen a low value hand and decides that they need to improve this weak hand, showing no consideration for what the dealer holds. As it happens, when the dealer shows 2 to 6 it is quite likely that the hand is valued at 12 to 16 and therefore they will need to draw, and in all probability, they will bust. This is because we know that several low value cards are out of the shoe (they are on show in both the dealer’s and our own hands) and so the percentage of ten value cards in the shoe has increased a little


2 – Taking Insurance

The mathematics behind this are quite straightforward. When the dealer has an ace, there are four cards that can make a blackjack – any King, Queen, Jack or Ten. The other nine cards won’t complete a blackjack for the dealer, so the odds are nine to four against the dealer having a blackjack. So by taking insurance, you are taking even money that the dealer has blackjack, despite the real odds being 9/4. That my friends, is a terrible bet.


3 – Playing When Tired / Playing For Too Long

It’s just not a good idea in general to gamble when tired. If you know you’re going to be playing for a long time, plan some rest stops. Get up for a coffee, grab a sandwich and watch the entertainment. If you’re playing online, read your favourite forum or the news. Do anything to take your mind off gambling for a few minutes before returning to the action.

4 – Splitting Tens When The Dealer Has 5 Or 6

Mathematical simulations show that standing with two tens makes more money in the long run than by splitting tens. That’s because a hand of 20 is the second strongest hand – why on Earth would you pass up the second best blackjack hand for a strong chance to make two inferior hands? Bank the almost certain winner and move on.

5 – Not Doubling Down With 11 Against A 10

Hitting the 11 will see your hand win 56% of the time. This means that for every £100 you bet, £56 of it will win you money and the other £44 will be lost. So that’s £56 of profit (for each win at the blackjack table is paying you even money) minus the £44 lost, for profit of £12.
By doubling down, you will win less often – 54% of the time in fact (£54 won per £100 wagered, £46 lost) – but the size of your bet is now double, so the returns are doubled. The £54 profit per £100 wagered becomes £108 whilst the £46 of losses becomes £92, making for overall profit of £16 (£108 – £92).

6 – Table Selection

  If at all possible, try to find a blackjack table offering 2/1 for blackjacks – they do exist. Other rule tweaks that improve a player’s chances of winning at blackjack include the ability to double down on any two cards, surrender early and split aces. Things to avoid are the dealer drawing on soft 17, strict rules about doubling down and of course, a greater number of decks in the show, which harms a player’s chances of winning exponentially.- http://www.rounderspalace.com

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